Forecast

Day-ahead electricity price forecast · DE-LU bidding zone

Forecast Summary Generated 2026-10-11T09:00

2026-10-12

Delivery date

176.0

Mean P50 (EUR/MWh)

80.6 – 281.5

P50 range

132.6

Avg spread (P90–P10)

72-Hour Rolling Forecast

Forecast vs Actual — 2026-10-12 ●

MAE: 26.5 EUR/MWh

Daily Performance (30 days) ●

7-day avg MAE: 34.0 EUR/MWh

Hourly Outturn (Recent Days)

Model Performance

18.3

Test MAE

24.1

RMSE

60%

80% coverage

44.7%

Skill score

Top Features

Error Analysis

26.2

Overall MAE

-13.3

Mean bias

4654

Hours analysed

By hour of day

By day of week

By price level

By month

Model: LightGBM (7-quantile) · Training data: ENTSO-E + Open-Meteo · Methodology