Forecast

Day-ahead electricity price forecast · DE-LU bidding zone

Forecast Summary Generated 2026-08-27T09:35

2026-08-28

Delivery date

115.9

Mean P50 (EUR/MWh)

77.8 – 160.6

P50 range

57.6

Avg spread (P90–P10)

72-Hour Rolling Forecast

Forecast vs Actual — 2026-08-28 ●

MAE: 27.7 EUR/MWh

Daily Performance (30 days) ●

7-day avg MAE: 32.4 EUR/MWh

Hourly Outturn (Recent Days)

Model Performance

18.3

Test MAE

24.1

RMSE

60%

80% coverage

44.7%

Skill score

Top Features

Error Analysis

21.9

Overall MAE

-7.7

Mean bias

3622

Hours analysed

By hour of day

By day of week

By price level

By month

Model: LightGBM (7-quantile) · Training data: ENTSO-E + Open-Meteo · Methodology